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This week, we've added four new films to the Anticipation Index. The Book of Eli, Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil and The Spy Next Door will all open in wide release during Martin Luther King Jr. Day weekend. The Lovely Bones is expanding wide after a limited release that begins on December 11.
As long as audiences aren't suffering from apocalypse fatigue after 2012, The Road and Daybreakers, The Book of Eli should post very strong numbers. Denzel Washington is one of the most reliable movie stars working today and he's coming off the modest success of The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3.
Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil and The Spy Next Door will battle it out for the attention of family audiences. The edge goes to Hoodwinked Too! because Spy Next Door star Jackie Chan's track record is spotty as of late.
As for The Lovely Bones, some serious Oscar buzz, the trust that director Peter Jackson has earned and the fact it's based on a best-selling novel are the factors that will push it to a strong theatrical showing.
Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below.
| Weekly Anticipation Index, November 14, 2009 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Opening Weekend | Cumulative |
| The Twilight Saga: New Moon | November 20 | Summit | $100M | $255M |
| Planet 51 | November 20 | Sony | $18M | $60M |
| The Blind Side | November 20 | Warner Bros. | $13M | $43M |
| Old Dogs | November 25 | Disney | $24M | $85M |
| Fantastic Mr. Fox | November 25 | Fox | $17M | $55M |
| The Road | November 25 | The Weinstein Company | $12M | $35M |
| Ninja Assassin | November 25 | Warner Bros. | $12M | $32M |
| Everybody's Fine | December 4 | Miramax | $13M | $43M |
| Armored | December 4 | Screen Gems | $11M | $30M |
| Brothers | December 4 | Lionsgate | $11M | $35M |
| The Princess and the Frog | December 11 (wide) | Disney | $23M | $115M |
| Invictus | December 11 | Warner Bros. | $17M | $75M |
| Avatar | December 18 | 20th Century Fox | $65M | $195M |
| Did You Hear About the Morgans? | December 18 | Sony/Columbia | $21M | $90M |
| Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakqual | December 23 | Fox | $50M | $225M |
| Sherlock Holmes | December 25 | Warner Bros. | $31M | $120M |
| It's Complicated | December 25 | Universal | $22M | $95M |
| Nine | December 25 (wide) | The Weinstein Company | $12M | $65M |
| Up in the Air | December 25 (wide) | Paramount | $10M | $65M |
| Daybreakers | January 8 | Lionsgate | $14M | $36M |
| Leap Year | January 8 | Universal | $12M | $38M |
| Youth in Revolt | January 8 | The Weinstein Company | $10M | $28M |
| The Book of Eli | January 15 | Warner Bros. | $33M* | $80M |
| Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil | January 15 | The Weinstein Company | $17M* | $50M |
| The Lovely Bones | January 15 (wide) | Paramount | $16M* | $70M |
| The Spy Next Door | January 15 | Lionsgate | $12M* | $32M |
*= four-day weekend
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.
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