Four new wide releases join our Long Range Forecast this week. 21 & Over, Jack the Giant Slayer, The Last Exorcism Part II and Phantom are currently scheduled to open on Friday, March 1.
21 & Over
PROS:
- Selling the film as from the writers of The Hangover could give it a bit of credibility.
CONS:
- With no star power, the film will have to rely on younger audiences' interest.
Jack the Giant Slayer
PROS:
- Fantasy films have had some decent success in March over the past few years.
- A somewhat familiar cast including Ewan McGregor could entice audiences.
- The familiar name/tale will also give the film some extra attention.
CONS:
- Not all fantasy films are hits and the film's delays could mean some trouble.
- Opening three months after The Hobbit and one week before Oz: The Great and Powerful, will the film have enough demand to drive it?
The Last Exorcism Part II
PROS:
- The horror genre has been doing well of late as audiences begin to migrate to other series beyond Paranormal Activity.
CONS:
- The first film opened well but tanked with poor word of mouth.
- Opening shortly after Dark Skies could lessen demand.
Phantom (2013)
PROS:
- As the only opener of the week aimed toward adults, it could sneak in a small audience.
CONS:
- Can Ed Harris and David Duchovny drive a film in 2013?
Notable changes on our forecast this week include Zero Dark Thirty, Gangster Squad and A Haunted House.
Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Opening Weekend | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phantom (2013) | Mar 1, 2013 | RCR Media Group |
$5,000,000 | $13,000,000 |
| Jack the Giant Slayer | Mar 1, 2013 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
$23,000,000 | $60,000,000 |
| The Last Exorcism Part II | Mar 1, 2013 | CBS Films |
$11,000,000 | $23,000,000 |
| 21 And Over | Mar 1, 2013 | Relativity Media |
$15,000,000 | $45,000,000 |
| Dark Skies | Feb 22, 2013 | Weinstein / Dimension |
$10,000,000 | $23,000,000 |
| Snitch (2013) | Feb 22, 2013 | Lionsgate / Summit |
$13,000,000 | $35,000,000 |
| Safe Haven | Feb 14, 2013 | Relativity Media |
$20,000,000* | $52,000,000 |
| Escape From Planet Earth | Feb 14, 2013 | Weinstein Company |
$13,000,000* | $35,000,000 |
| A Good Day to Die Hard | Feb 14, 2013 | Fox |
$47,000,000* | $125,000,000 |
| Beautiful Creatures (2013) | Feb 13, 2013 | Warner Bros. |
$21,000,000* | $57,000,000 |
| Side Effects (2013) | Feb 8, 2013 | Open Road |
$21,000,000 | $65,000,000 |
| Identity Thief | Feb 8, 2013 | Universal |
$19,000,000 | $62,000,000 |
| Bullet to the Head | Feb 1, 2013 | Warner Bros. |
$8,000,000 | $20,000,000 |
| Warm Bodies | Feb 1, 2013 | Lionsgate / Summit |
$19,000,000 | $50,000,000 |
| Movie 43 | Jan 25, 2013 | Relativity Media |
$13,000,000 | $35,000,000 |
| Parker | Jan 25, 2013 | FilmDistrict |
$10,000,000 | $27,000,000 |
| Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters | Jan 25, 2013 | Paramount |
$13,000,000 | $30,000,000 |
| Broken City | Jan 18, 2013 | Fox |
$20,000,000* | $48,000,000 |
| The Last Stand | Jan 18, 2013 | Lionsgate |
$15,000,000* | $33,000,000 |
| Mama | Jan 18, 2013 | Universal |
$17,000,000* | $37,000,000 |
| A Haunted House | Jan 11, 2013 | Open Road |
$19,000,000 | $50,000,000 |
| Gangster Squad Zero Dark Thirty |
Jan 11, 2013 Jan 11, 2013 |
Warner Bros. Sony / Columbia |
$17,000,000 $18,000,000 |
$48,000,000 $80,000,000 |
* = Four-day weekend (Friday-Monday)
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.
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