Weekend Predictions: 'Oblivion'

on April 17, 2013 by BOXOFFICE Staff
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obl.pngFriday, April 19 will see the domestic release of director Joseph Kosinski's Oblivion, starring Tom Cruise, after a successful overseas debut.

Oblivion

PROS:

- Universal is banking on the star power of Tom Cruise combined with the big scale sci-fi genre in which he's had past success.
- As the only wide release of the weekend, competition will be minimal.
- The film's marketing campaign has heavily pushed the film as a pre-summer event. 

CONS:

- Cruise's star power has diminished, though it's becoming clear that he can still draw with the right film. Is Oblivion it?
- With 42 breaking out last week and now receiving strong word of mouth, some of Oblivion's potential audience could opt for a more sure bet instead.
- Social network tracking has been mediocre over the last few months. 

Check out our predictions for Oblivion and the remainder of the weekend's top 10 in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Oblivion (2013) Apr 19, 2013 Universal
$31,500,000 $31,500,000
42 (2013) Apr 12, 2013 Warner Bros.
$20,500,000 $56,800,000
The Croods Mar 22, 2013 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$9,500,000 $155,000,000
The Place Beyond the Pines Mar 29, 2013 Focus
$5,800,000 $12,600,000
G.I. Joe: Retaliation Mar 28, 2013 Paramount
$5,700,000 $111,200,000
Scary Movie 5 Apr 12, 2013 Weinstein / Dimension
$5,500,000 $22,200,000
Olympus Has Fallen Mar 22, 2013 FilmDistrict
$4,800,000 $89,200,000
Evil Dead Apr 5, 2013 Sony / TriStar
$4,300,000 $48,700,000
Jurassic Park 3D Apr 5, 2013 Universal
$4,000,000 $38,500,000
Oz: The Great and Powerful Mar 8, 2013 Disney
$3,000,000 $223,700,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: Oblivion
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1 Comment

  • BoxOfficeAce on 18 April 2013

    Unfortunately I'm unsure if Cruise can push this over $40 million, although the Box Office Ace prediction average is currently at $43.5 million - http://boxofficeace.com/movie/oblivion

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