Weekly Anticipation Index: 'Michael Jackson's This Is It' and 'Youth in Revolt'

Featured Stories - on September 05, 2009 by Phil Contrino

We take a closer look at the immense box office potential that Michael Jackson's This Is It possesses. .

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This weekend, we've added Michael Jackson's This Is It and Youth in Revolt to our Anticipation Index.

This Is It is easily the wild card of the fall slate. Even though it is only scheduled for a two-week engagement, the film could easily play well into November if the box office numbers are healthy enough and Sony decides to extend the run. There is going to be a huge curiosity factor that will drive audiences to theaters, and die-hard fans may want to catch the film more than once. The only potential danger for This Is It is the fact that Jackson's death has already been covered extensively on television. There is is bound to be at least a small population of moviegoers who are simply sick of hearing about him at this point.

Youth in Revolt opens two days after This Is It and it has little chance of escaping the concert film's shadow. Revolt will represent a major test of Cera's drawing power, since he is being used as a major selling point. The young actor is need of a hit after the underwhelming performance of Year One this summer.

Check out our predictions for both of these films as well as others in the table below.


Weekly Anticipation Index, September 5, 2009
Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
9 September 9 Focus $14M $45M
Sorority Row September 11 Summit $14M $33M
Tyler Perry's I Can Do Bad All by Myself September 11 Lionsgate $34M $73M
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs September 18 Sony/Columbia $19M $65M
Love Happens September 18 Focus $16M $48M
Jennifer's Body September 18 Fox Atomic $22M $53M
The Informant! September 18 Warner Bros. $11M $37M
Fame September 25 MGM/UA $23M $62M
Surrogates September 25 Disney $18M $53M
Zombieland October 2 Sony/Columbia $14M $37M
Couples Retreat October 9 Universal $26M $80M
Where the Wild Things Are October 16 Warner Bros. $25M $75M
Law Abiding Citizen October 16 Overture $15M $43M
The Road October 16 The Weinstein Company $14M $40M
Saw VI October 23 Lionsgate $29M $55M
Amelia October 23 Fox Searchlight $14M $50M
Astro Boy October 23 Summit $15M $48M
Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant October 23 Universal $12M $35M
Michael Jackson's This Is It October 28 Sony $32M $67M
Youth in Revolt October 30 The Weinstein Company $10M $33M

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris.

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