Weekly Anticipation Index: 'Shutter Island'

Featured Stories - on December 19, 2009 by Phil Contrino

Martin Scorsese's Shutter Island should post solid numbers when it finally hits theaters this February.

This week, we've added Shutter Island to our Anticipation Index. The Paramount release was originally slated to hit theaters this past October.

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Shutter Island marks the fourth collaboration between Martin Scorsese and Leonardo DiCaprio, and it has certainly been a critically and financially successful relationship. 2006's The Departed grossed $134 million domestically and it won the Oscars for Best Picture and Best Director, among others. The Aviator was also able to cross the $100 million mark in 2004, while Gangs of New York posted a somewhat underwhelming $77.7 million domestic haul in 2002-close to $100 million when adjusted for inflation.

Shutter Island will appeal to the same base that supported the previous Scorsese/DiCaprio efforts, but with a story that centers around a dangerous prison it will also bring in horror enthusiasts and expand its reach in the process. The only drawback is that it won't directly benefit from the kind Oscar buzz that comes at the end of year. The Departed, The Aviator and Gangs of New York were all released during the fall.

Check out our prediction for Shutter Island as well as other films in the table below.

Weekly Anticipation Index, December 19, 2009
Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel December 23 Fox $48M $235M
Up in the Air December 25 (wide) Paramount $14M $85M
Sherlock Holmes December 25 Warner Bros. $37M $135M
It's Complicated December 25 Universal $24M $100M
Nine December 25 (wide) The Weinstein Company $10M $50M
Daybreakers January 8 Lionsgate $14M $36M
Leap Year January 8 Universal $13M $45M
Youth in Revolt January 8 The Weinstein Company $10M $28M
The Book of Eli January 15 Warner Bros. $33M* $80M
Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil January 15 The Weinstein Company $17M* $50M
The Lovely Bones January 15 (wide) Paramount $16M* $70M
The Spy Next Door January 15 Lionsgate $12M* $32M
The Tooth Fairy January 22 20th Century Fox $20M $65M
Legion January 22 Screen Gems $14M $37M
Extraordinary Measures January 22 CBS Films $13M $40M
Edge of Darkness January 29 Warner Bros. $22M $70M
When in Rome January 29 Disney $14M $42M
Dear John February 5 Screen Gems $17M $60M
From Paris with Love February 5 Lionsgate $13M $42M
Valentine's Day February 12 New Line $35M* $95M
The Wolfman February 12 Universal $25M* $60M
Percy Jackson and the Olympians: The Lightning Thief February 12 Fox 2000 $23M* $65M
Shutter Island February 19 Paramount $25M $75M

*= four-day weekend

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Weekly Anticipation Index, box office, Shutter Island, Martin Scorsese, Leonardo DiCaprio, Ben Kingsley

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