BOXOFFICE Forecast: 'The Twilight Saga: Eclipse' and 'The Last Airbender'
Featured Stories - on May 03, 2010 by Phil Contrino
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse and The Last Airbender promise to do some serious damage this summer.
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This week, we've added The Twilight Saga: Eclipse and The Last Airbender to our Anticipation Index. Eclipse hits theaters on June 25, while Airbender opens on July 2.
The smart money is on Summit's latest installment in the Twilight series emerging as one of the summer's biggest successes. Just do the math. Twilight opened to $69.6 million in November 2008, and New Moon jumped to a $142.8 million opening in November 2009. The franchise is growing at a rapid rate and it may not peek until its fourth and (probably) final film, which will be released in two parts. Summit is wise to release the film in the summer since its rabid teenage fanbase won't have to worry about school. Expect this one to break records.
Eclipse's official opening weekend tally will be watered down considerably due to the fact that it is opening on a Wednesday. With that said, the film's five-day opening total should clock it around $190 million.
M. Night Shyamalan takes a break from his typically moody thrillers to deliver what could be the beginning of a popular franchise for Paramount. Teenage boys who wouldn't be caught dead in a theater showing Eclipse will be the base for this. While domestic numbers will be healthy thanks to a built-in fan base that comes from the Nickelodeon show, Airbender's international cast will help it perform much better abroad.
Check out our predictions for The Twilight Saga: Eclipse and The Last Airbender as well as other films in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Weekend Gross ||Cumulative|
|Toy Story 3||Jun 18, 2010||Disney
|Shrek Forever After||May 21, 2010||Paramount (DreamWorks)
|The Twilight Saga: Eclipse||Jun 30, 2010||Summit
|Sex and the City 2||May 27, 2010||Warner Bros. (New Line)
|The A-Team||Jun 11, 2010||Fox
|Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time||May 28, 2010||Disney
|The Last Airbender||Jul 2, 2010||Paramount
|Robin Hood||May 14, 2010||Universal Pictures
|Knight and Day||Jun 25, 2010||Fox
|Grown Ups||Jun 25, 2010||Sony / Columbia
|The Karate Kid (2010)||Jun 11, 2010||Columbia Pictures
|Marmaduke||Jun 4, 2010||Fox
|Get Him to the Greek||Jun 11, 2010||Universal
|Jonah Hex||Jun 18, 2010||Warner Bros.
|Killers||Jun 4, 2010||Lionsgate
|MacGruber||May 21, 2010||Universal
|Letters to Juliet||May 14, 2010||Summit
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.