Long Range Forecast: 'Green Lantern' and 'Mr. Popper's Penquins'
Featured Stories - on April 23, 2011 by Phil Contrino
We've added Green Lantern and Mr. Popper's Penquins to our Long Range Forecast this week. Both films are set to hit theaters on June 17.
Warner Bros. will be hoping that Green Lantern can launch another superhero franchise, but a lot depends on whether or not moviegoers are feeling some superhero fatigue. Four origin stories open this summer: Thor in May, Lantern and X-Men: First Class in June and Captain America: First Avenger in July. While there may be room for all of them, we're betting that the similarities will create a strong case of déjà vu for audiences.
Lantern stars Ryan Reynolds and Blake Lively are both on their way to becoming major draws, but they might not be at the point yet where they can open a summer tentpole. We're sticking with a conservative forecast at this time.
Mr. Popper's Penquins will represent a big test for star Jim Carrey. The rubber-faced actor has been able to hang around for a while even as other comedic actors have been gunning for his audience. He might still be able to deliver a blockbuster, but he'll have to work a miracle with Penquins. The first trailer generated a weak amount of buzz on Facebook and Twitter.
The toughest factor that Penquins will face is that it opens a week before Cars 2, which is guaranteed to gobble up family crowds. If families decide to save their money for that Disney/Pixar sequel then Penquins could be in real trouble.
Check out our predictions for these films and others in the table below.
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Opening Weekend | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Lantern | Jun 17, 2011 | Warner Bros. |
$43,000,000 | $120,000,000 |
| Mr. Popper's Penguins | Jun 17, 2011 | Fox |
$20,000,000 | $65,000,000 |
| Judy Moody And The Not Bummer Summer | Jun 10, 2011 | Relativity Media |
$7,000,000 | $23,000,000 |
| Super 8 | Jun 10, 2011 | Paramount |
$42,000,000 | $135,000,000 |
| X-Men: First Class | Jun 3, 2011 | Fox |
$70,000,000 | $155,000,000 |
| The Hangover Part II | May 26, 2011 | Warner Bros. |
$92,000,000 | $245,000,000 |
| Kung Fu Panda 2 | May 26, 2011 | Paramount / DreamWorks |
$107,000,000 | $320,000,000 |
| Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides | May 20, 2011 | Disney |
$105,000,000 | $280,000,000 |
| Bridesmaids | May 13, 2011 | Universal |
$15,000,000 | $45,000,000 |
| Priest (2011) | May 13, 2011 | Sony / Screen Gems |
$13,000,000 | $31,000,000 |
| Thor | May 6, 2011 | Paramount |
$63,000,000 | $180,000,000 |
| Jumping The Broom | May 6, 2011 | Sony / TriStar |
$11,000,000 | $30,000,000 |
| Fast Five | Apr 29, 2011 | Universal |
$70,000,000 | $145,000,000 |
| Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil | Apr 29, 2011 | Weinstein Company |
$9,000,000 | $30,000,000 |
| Prom | Apr 29, 2011 | Disney |
$10,000,000 | $27,000,000 |
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.
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