Long Range Forecast: 'Finding Nemo 3D', 'Resident Evil: Retribution', & 'The Perks of Being a Wallflower'
Featured Stories - on July 21, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff
This week, we've added two new films to our Long Range Forecast: Finding Nemo 3D and Resident Evil: Retribution. Both films are currently scheduled to open on Friday, September 14.
Finding Nemo 3D
PROS:
- The film was extremely well-received during its initial release in 2003 and is regarded as a modern day family classic.
- The marketplace for family films will be empty at the time of its release.
- The Lion King found great success with its 3D re-release this time last year, and Nemo might be better compared with it than other recent re-releases in terms of how popular it is with today's family audiences.
CONS:
- Only two weeks separate it from the release of Sony's Hotel Transylvania, which could lead to front-loading unless it takes off the way The Lion King 3D did last year.
- Audiences appeared to be suffering from 3D re-issue fatigue earlier in the year with Star Wars: Episode I and Titanic, though that may be a distant memory come September.
Resident Evil: Retribution
PROS:
- Thanks in part to the addition of 3D, 2010's Resident Evil: Afterlife was the highest grossing film of the franchise.
- The franchise has been a very consistent performer over the years and could continue to follow a similar trajectory as the Underworld series.
CONS:
- As the fifth film of the franchise, could this be one film too many?
- The franchise has always been very front-loaded towards opening weekend.
Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Watch and Step Up: Revolution.
Check out our predictions for these and other films in the table below.
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Opening Weekend | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finding Nemo 3D | Sep 14, 2012 | Disney |
$24,000,000 | $68,000,000 |
| Resident Evil: Retribution | Sep 14, 2012 | Sony / Screen Gems |
$23,000,000 | $52,000,000 |
| The Words | Sep 7, 2012 | CBS Films |
$10,000,000 | $29,000,000 |
| The Possession | Aug 31, 2012 | Lionsgate |
$20,000,000† | $40,000,000 |
| Lawless | Aug 29, 2012 | Weinstein Company |
$13,000,000† | $31,000,000 |
| Hit And Run | Aug 24, 2012 | Open Road |
$8,000,000 | $19,000,000 |
| Premium Rush | Aug 24, 2012 | Sony / Columbia |
$11,000,000 | $38,000,000 |
| The Apparition | Aug 24, 2012 | Warner Bros. |
$14,000,000 | $33,000,000 |
| ParaNorman | Aug 17, 2012 | Focus |
$19,000,000 | $70,000,000 |
| Sparkle (2012) | Aug 17, 2012 | Sony / TriStar |
$14,000,000 | $38,000,000 |
| The Expendables 2 | Aug 17, 2012 | Lionsgate |
$37,000,000 | $105,000,000 |
| The Odd Life of Timothy Green | Aug 15, 2012 | Disney |
$8,000,000 | $28,000,000 |
| The Bourne Legacy | Aug 10, 2012 | Universal |
$39,000,000 | $125,000,000 |
| Hope Springs (2012) |
Aug 10, 2012 | Sony / Columbia |
$24,000,000 | $106,000,000 |
| The Campaign | Aug 10, 2012 | Warner Bros. |
$30,000,000 | $100,000,000 |
| Total Recall (2012) | Aug 3, 2012 | Sony / Columbia |
$21,000,000 | $60,000,000 |
| Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days | Aug 3, 2012 | Fox |
$19,000,000 | $52,000,000 |
| Step Up Revolution | Jul 27, 2012 | Lionsgate / Summit |
$17,000,000 | $47,000,000 |
| The Watch | Jul 27, 2012 | 20th Century Fox |
$29,000,000 | $93,000,000 |
† = 4-day weekend (Friday through Monday)
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this article.
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