Long Range Forecast: 'Finding Nemo 3D', 'Resident Evil: Retribution', & 'The Perks of Being a Wallflower'

Featured Stories - on July 21, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff

sep14.pngThis week, we've added two new films to our Long Range Forecast: Finding Nemo 3D and Resident Evil: Retribution.  Both films are currently scheduled to open on Friday, September 14.

Finding Nemo 3D

PROS:

- The film was extremely well-received during its initial release in 2003 and is regarded as a modern day family classic.
- The marketplace for family films will be empty at the time of its release.
- The Lion King found great success with its 3D re-release this time last year, and Nemo might be better compared with it than other recent re-releases in terms of how popular it is with today's family audiences.

CONS:

- Only two weeks separate it from the release of Sony's Hotel Transylvania, which could lead to front-loading unless it takes off the way The Lion King 3D did last year.
- Audiences appeared to be suffering from 3D re-issue fatigue earlier in the year with Star Wars: Episode I and Titanic, though that may be a distant memory come September.

Resident Evil: Retribution

PROS:

- Thanks in part to the addition of 3D, 2010's Resident Evil: Afterlife was the highest grossing film of the franchise.
- The franchise has been a very consistent performer over the years and could continue to follow a similar trajectory as the Underworld series.

CONS:

- As the fifth film of the franchise, could this be one film too many?
- The franchise has always been very front-loaded towards opening weekend.

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Watch and Step Up: Revolution.

Check out our predictions for these and other films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Finding Nemo 3D Sep 14, 2012 Disney
$24,000,000 $68,000,000
Resident Evil: Retribution Sep 14, 2012 Sony / Screen Gems
$23,000,000 $52,000,000
The Words Sep 7, 2012 CBS Films
$10,000,000 $29,000,000
The Possession Aug 31, 2012 Lionsgate
$20,000,000† $40,000,000
Lawless Aug 29, 2012 Weinstein Company
$13,000,000† $31,000,000
Hit And Run Aug 24, 2012 Open Road
$8,000,000 $19,000,000
Premium Rush Aug 24, 2012 Sony / Columbia
$11,000,000 $38,000,000
The Apparition Aug 24, 2012 Warner Bros.
$14,000,000 $33,000,000
ParaNorman Aug 17, 2012 Focus
$19,000,000 $70,000,000
Sparkle (2012) Aug 17, 2012 Sony / TriStar
$14,000,000 $38,000,000
The Expendables 2 Aug 17, 2012 Lionsgate
$37,000,000 $105,000,000
The Odd Life of Timothy Green Aug 15, 2012 Disney
$8,000,000 $28,000,000
The Bourne Legacy Aug 10, 2012 Universal
$39,000,000 $125,000,000
Hope Springs (2012)
Aug 10, 2012 Sony / Columbia
$24,000,000 $106,000,000
The Campaign Aug 10, 2012 Warner Bros.
$30,000,000 $100,000,000
Total Recall (2012) Aug 3, 2012 Sony / Columbia
$21,000,000 $60,000,000
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days Aug 3, 2012 Fox
$19,000,000 $52,000,000
Step Up Revolution Jul 27, 2012 Lionsgate / Summit
$17,000,000 $47,000,000
The Watch Jul 27, 2012 20th Century Fox
$29,000,000 $93,000,000

† = 4-day weekend (Friday through Monday)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this article.

Tags: Resident Evil: Retribution, Finding Nemo 3D

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