Weekend Predictions: 'The Dark Knight Rises,' 'Total Recall' and 'Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days'
Featured Stories - on August 01, 2012 by Phil Contrino
The Dark Knight Rises should have no problem fending off Total Recall and Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days in order to remain #1 this coming weekend.
Unless a miracle surge happens, it's now clear that The Dark Knight Rises won't match The Dark Knight's $533 million domestic tally. TDKR currently trails TDK by more than $25 million. Yet even though Christopher Nolan's trilogy-capper isn't keeping up with its predecessor, it's still a huge hit. TDKR has more than enough momentum to stay on top during its third weekend in theaters.
As of 5 p.m. PT, Fandango reports that TDKR accounts for 53% of daily sales.
Expect The Dark Knight Rises to make another $37.5 million over the weekend.
Total Recall will have a tough time competing with TDKR for the attention of male moviegoers. Still, the sci-fi flick comes with quite a bit of brand recognition, and the trailers have generated plenty of buzz on Facebook and Twitter. Our expectations remain relatively modest, but this one could end up turning into a surprise hit.
Fandango reports that Total Recall accounts for 7% of daily sales.
Total Recall should take in $23 million from around 3,400 locations.
The Diary of a Wimpy Kid franchise has gained a loyal following since the first movie was released in March 2010. The first film opened to $22.1 million and the sequel debuted to $23.7 million. There's no reason to expect Dog Days to stray too far from that.
Fandango reports that Diary of a Wimpy Kid accounts for 6% of daily sales.
Look for Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days to grab $21 million from around 3,100 locations.
Check out the rest of our top 10 predictions in the table below.
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Weekend Gross | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Dark Knight Rises | Jul 20, 2012 | Warner Bros. |
$37,500,000 | $355,500,000 |
| Total Recall (2012) | Aug 3, 2012 | Sony / Columbia |
$23,000,000 | $23,000,000 |
| Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days | Aug 3, 2012 | Fox |
$21,000,000 | $21,000,000 |
| Ice Age: Continental Drift | Jul 13, 2012 | Fox |
$8,800,000 | $132,500,000 |
| The Watch | Jul 27, 2012 | Fox |
$6,000,000 | $25,000,000 |
| Step Up Revolution | Jul 27, 2012 | Lionsgate / Summit |
$5,500,000 | $23,300,000 |
| Ted (2012) | Jun 29, 2012 | Universal |
$5,300,000 | $203,200,000 |
| The Amazing Spider-Man | Jul 3, 2012 | Sony / Columbia |
$4,300,000 | $250,600,000 |
| Brave | Jun 22, 2012 | Disney |
$3,000,000 | $223,300,000 |
| Magic Mike | Jun 29, 2012 | Warner Bros. |
$1,600,000 | $111,100,000 |
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.
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