Long Range Forecast: 'Iron Man 3'

Featured Stories - on March 09, 2013 by BOXOFFICE Staff

iron.pngAt long last, it's time to start looking ahead to 2013's summer slate. This week, early thoughts and predictions for the highly anticipated Iron Man 3 have been added to our Long Range Forecast.

Iron Man 3

PROS:

- The first two Iron Man films have been blockbuster performers with very consistent respective total domestic grosses of $318.4 million and $312.1 million.
- Goodwill from the success of The Avengers could pay off in a big way for the Marvel franchise's most successful standalone character thus far.
- Early online buzz is noticeably strong.
- As the summer kick-off release, this will benefit from the lack of event-level movies so far in 2013.
- Adding 3D to it's arsenal increases the odds that this becomes the biggest opener and overall highest grossing Iron Man film yet. 

CONS:

- This will be the fourth on-screen appearance of the character in the past five years. Is there a risk of audience fatigue?
- The lukewarm reception to Iron Man 2 could cancel out some of the goodwill from The Avengers.
- The crowded May schedule. Star Trek Into Darkness, Fast & Furious 6, and The Hangover Part III will provide major competition; a level of competition which Iron Man and Iron Man 2 didn't face.

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Incredible Burt Wonderstone, The Call, Olympus Has Fallen, Admission, G.I. Joe: Retaliation, The Host, and Oblivion.

Check out our predictions for Iron Man 3 and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Iron Man 3 May 3, 2013 Disney
$151,000,000 $375,000,000
The Big Wedding Apr 26, 2013 Lionsgate
$14,000,000 $50,000,000
Pain and Gain Apr 26, 2013 Paramount
$22,000,000 $55,000,000
Jobs Apr 19, 2013 Open Road
$13,000,000 $33,000,000
Oblivion (2013) Apr 19, 2013 Universal
$45,000,000 $120,000,000
42 (2013) Apr 12, 2013 Warner Bros.
$17,000,000 $50,000,000
Scary Movie 5 Apr 12, 2013 Weinstein / Dimension
$20,000,000 $45,000,000
Evil Dead Apr 5, 2013 Sony / TriStar
$20,000,000 $47,000,000
Jurassic Park 3D Apr 5, 2013 Universal
$25,000,000 $55,000,000
The Host (2013) Mar 29, 2013 Open Road
$20,000,000 $55,000,000
Tyler Perry's Temptation Mar 29, 2013 Lionsgate
$22,000,000 $47,000,000
G.I. Joe: Retaliation Mar 28, 2013 Paramount
$45,000,000* $130,000,000
The Croods Mar 22, 2013 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$40,000,000 $150,000,000
Olympus Has Fallen Mar 22, 2013 FilmDistrict
$21,000,000 $57,000,000
Admission Mar 22, 2013 Focus
$13,000,000 $45,000,000
The Call Mar 15, 2013 Sony / TriStar
$11,000,000 $27,000,000
The Incredible Burt Wonderstone Mar 15, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$14,000,000 $42,000,000

* = 3-day weekend gross (Fri-Sun)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: Iron Man 3

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