Long Range Forecast: 'The Wolverine'

Featured Stories - on May 31, 2013 by BOXOFFICE Staff

wolv.pngJoining our Long Range Forecast this week is Fox's The Wolverine.

The Wolverine

PROS:

- Will likely have its opening weekend largely to itself, which is rare for the month of July.
- The X-Men brand could be back on the upswing thanks to the solid reception to 2011's X-Men: First Class and building anticipation for next year's X-Men: Days of Future Past.
- Will have the added advantage of being the first X-Men film in 3D.
- Wolverine remains the most noteworthy character of the X-Universe, especially among more casual X-Men fans.
- The second trailer generated plenty of enthusiasm on Facebook and Twitter. 

CONS:

- The largely negative reception to 2009's X-Men Origins: Wolverine could cancel out the positive reception to First Class and then some.
- As was the case with First Class, early marketing and the storyline of The Wolverine may not draw back in more casual fans of the earlier X-Men films.
- Despite his popularity within the X-Universe, the last time we checked Wolverine isn't part of The Avengers.

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Purge (up), Monsters University (up) and This Is The End (down). 

Check out our predictions for The Wolverine and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Wolverine Jul 26, 2013 Fox
$63,000,000 $150,000,000
Red 2 Jul 19, 2013 Lionsgate / Summit
$22,000,000 $71,000,000
The Conjuring Jul 19, 2013 Warner Bros.
$20,000,000 $64,000,000
R.I.P.D. Jul 19, 2013 Universal
$12,000,000 $30,000,000
Turbo Jul 17, 2013 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$21,000,000 $80,000,000
Grown Ups 2 Jul 12, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$40,000,000 $128,000,000
Pacific Rim Jul 12, 2013 Warner Bros.
$55,000,000 $185,000,000
The Lone Ranger Jul 3, 2013 Disney
$32,000,000** $122,000,000
Despicable Me 2 Jul 3, 2013 Universal
$76,000,000** $353,000,000
White House Down Jun 28, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$40,000,000 $112,000,000
The Heat Jun 28, 2013 Fox
$37,000,000 $152,000,000
Monsters University Jun 21, 2013 Disney
$80,000,000 $275,000,000
World War Z Jun 21, 2013 Paramount
$40,000,000 $105,000,000
Man of Steel Jun 14, 2013 Warner Bros.
$112,000,000 $340,000,000
This Is The End Jun 12, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$24,000,000* $90,000,000
The Purge Jun 7, 2013 Universal
$22,000,000 $53,000,000
The Internship Jun 7, 2013 Fox
$16,000,000 $45,000,000

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)
** = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: The Wolverine

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