Long Range Forecast: 'Riddick'

Featured Stories - on July 12, 2013 by BOXOFFICE Staff

riddick.pngThe only film currently scheduled for release on Friday, September 6 is Vin Diesel's return as Riddick. Check out our thoughts below.

Riddick

PROS:

- Pitch Black has become something of a mini cult classic since its 2000 release.
- The Chronicles of Riddick posted a respectable box office run in summer 2004, although the film was financially disappointing thanks to a large budget.
- Vin Diesel's career comeback thanks to the Fast & Furious sequels.
- The film is currently the only slated new release for its weekend. 
- Vin Diesel's Facebook page boasts more than 44 million likes. That gives Universal a strong base to market to. 

CONS:

- Neither Pitch Black nor Chronicles of Riddick were breakouts to a significant degree.
- Whatever goodwill Pitch Black built up, its sequel likely set it back in 2004.
- Has too much time passed for audiences and fans to remember/care about the franchise? 

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Conjuring (up), R.I.P.D. (down), Turbo (down), Red 2 (down), The Wolverine (up). 

Check out our forecast for Riddick and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Riddick Sep 6, 2013 Universal
$25,000,000 $60,000,000
Getaway Aug 30, 2013 Warner Bros.
$11,000,000** $23,000,000
One Direction: This Is Us Aug 30, 2013 Sony / TriStar
$19,000,000** $38,000,000
Closed Circuit Aug 28, 2013 Focus
$6,000,000** $15,000,000
The World's End Aug 23, 2013 Focus
$11,000,000 $33,000,000
You're Next Aug 23, 2013 Lionsgate
$11,000,000 $26,000,000
The Mortal Instruments: City of Bones Aug 21, 2013 Sony / Screen Gems
$15,000,000 $42,000,000
The Butler Aug 16, 2013 Weinstein Company
$14,000,000 $56,000,000
Kick-Ass 2 Aug 16, 2013 Universal
$25,000,000 $58,000,000
Jobs Aug 16, 2013 Open Road
$10,000,000 $28,000,000
Paranoia Aug 16, 2013 Relativity Media
$11,000,000 $32,000,000
Elysium Aug 9, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$30,000,000 $90,000,000
Planes Aug 9, 2013 Disney
$17,000,000 $70,000,000
We're the Millers Aug 7, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$22,000,000 $83,000,000
Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters Aug 7, 2013 Fox
$20,000,000 $77,000,000
2 Guns Aug 2, 2013 Universal
$41,000,000 $120,000,000
The Smurfs 2 Jul 31, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$26,000,000 $100,000,000
The Wolverine Jul 26, 2013 Fox
$67,000,000 $165,000,000
R.I.P.D. Jul 19, 2013 Universal
$14,000,000 $38,000,000
The Conjuring Jul 19, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$30,000,000 $85,000,000
Red 2 Jul 19, 2013 Lionsgate / Summit
$21,000,000 $70,000,000

Turbo (Fox/DreamWorks Animation): $22 million/$80 million*

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)
** = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: Riddick

1 Comment

  • WordsWithSam on 12 July 2013

    Speaking specifically to this con: "Has too much time passed for audiences and fans to remember/care about the franchise?" I think the same can be said for F&F and Riddick's career. It obviously didn't matter. Sure Riddick was never as big as F&F but it's definitely got that cult status and the trailers have been solid. Plus, Diesel's fanbase is loyal as hell.

What do you think?