Long Range Forecast: 'Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones'

Featured Stories - on November 08, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff

pa.pngBoxOffice takes a first look at 2014 this week with the addition of Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones to our Long Range Forecast.

Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones

PROS:

- The Paranormal Activity franchise has proven a highly lucrative franchise for Paramount through four films.
- Aiming this spin-off at Latino audiences is a smart play, especially following the success of January 2012's The Devil Inside.
- Horror fans may be looking for something after two months without any choices in the market. 

CONS:

- Paranormal Activity 4 marked a big low for the series, posting the weakest opening and domestic total of the franchise thus far.
- Moving from the series' usual October release window eliminates the benefit of a Halloween tie-in.
- Horror franchises tend to keep burning out at the box office once they've started such a trend. See the later Saw sequels. 

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Best Man Holiday (up), Black Nativity (down), Grudge Match (up), Justin Bieber's Believe (down).

Check out our forecast for upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones Jan 3, 2014 Paramount
$18,000,000 $31,000,000
The Wolf of Wall Street Dec 25, 2013 Paramount
$21,000,000* $100,000,000
Grudge Match Dec 25, 2013 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000* $70,000,000
47 Ronin Dec 25, 2013 Universal
$11,000,000* $47,000,000
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty Dec 25, 2013 Fox
$19,000,000* $90,000,000
Justin Bieber's Believe Dec 25, 2013 Open Road
$10,500,000* $36,000,000
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues Dec 20, 2013 Paramount
$54,000,000 $185,000,000
Walking With Dinosaurs Dec 20, 2013 Fox
$9,000,000 $54,000,000
Saving Mr. Banks Dec 13, 2013 Disney
$14,000,000 $85,000,000
Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas Dec 13, 2013 Lionsgate
$25,000,000 $68,000,000
American Hustle Dec 13, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$14,000,000 $85,000,000
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug Dec 13, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$82,000,000 $280,000,000
Out of the Furnace Dec 6, 2013 Relativity Media
$9,000,000 $35,000,000
Black Nativity Nov 27, 2013 Fox Searchlight
$11,000,000* $33,000,000
Oldboy (2013) Nov 27, 2013 FilmDistrict
$10,000,000* $28,000,000
Homefront Nov 27, 2013 Open Road
$7,000,000* $20,000,000
Delivery Man Nov 22, 2013 Disney / DreamWorks
$12,000,000 $41,000,000
Frozen (2013) Nov 22, 2013 Disney
$39,000,000 $180,000,000
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Nov 22, 2013 Lionsgate
$168,000,000 $390,000,000
The Best Man Holiday Nov 15, 2013 Universal
$20,500,000 $60,000,000

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

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