Weekend Forecast: 'The Wolf of Wall Street', 'The Secret Life of Walter Mitty', 'Grudge Match', '47 Ronin', & 'Justin Bieber's Believe'

Featured Stories - on December 26, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff

dec25.pngThe holiday market gets even more jam-packed this weekend with five new wide releases.

The Wolf of Wall Street

PROS:

- Martin Scorsese's and Leonardo DiCaprio's streak of success over four films dating back to 2002.
- Strong early reviews and considerable awards buzz.
- Positive online tracking metrics across Twitter and Flixster.

CONS:

- The controversial content could alienate some middle America audiences.
- The running time will limit the number of showtimes theaters are able to give.
- The crowded holiday market and competition from American Hustle, going after a similar crowd.

The Secret Life of Walter Mitty 

PROS:

- Ben Stiller's past box office success, particularly around the holidays.
- A strong marketing campaign that raised considerable awareness.
- The holiday-friendly themes of a feel-good story.

CONS:

- Stiller's directorial stature hasn't been tested in this large of a way before, stepping out of his usual straight-up comedic genre.
- The crowded holiday market and competition from other family-friendly films.
- Online activity has been modest, indicating the film may mostly appeal to older crowds.

Grudge Match

PROS:

- The promise of seeing Raging Bull and Rocky together could be enticing for audiences.
- Older crowds looking for a genuine comedy will have nowhere else to turn this holiday season.

CONS:

- Online activity has been tepid, although that may simply underline the film's older appeal.
- The crowded holiday market.

47 Ronin

PROS:

- Universal has mounted a strong marketing campaign with frequent ad placements over the last few weeks.
- Keanu Reeves returns to the stylized action genre where he found his biggest success in The Matrix films.
- Modestly positive Flixster buzz. 

CONS:

- Reeves hasn't been much of a box office draw in years.
- The crowded holiday market and competition from The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug.
- Sluggish Twitter and Facebook activity. 

Justin Bieber's Believe

PROS:

- Bieber sent his first film, Never Say Never, to a strong $73 million domestic run in 2011.
- Pre-sales are expectedly strong from his fans.

CONS:

- Bieber's image has taken more and more hits as he's grown up, especially over the past year.
- Online buzz is significantly behind that of Bieber's past standards, and even that of One Direction: This Is Us.

Check out our forecast for these and the remainder of the weekend's top 13 in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Total Domestic Gross through Sunday, Dec. 29
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug Dec 13, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$29,500,000 $189,200,000
Frozen (2013) Nov 22, 2013 Disney
$27,700,000 $246,700,000
The Wolf of Wall Street Dec 25, 2013 Paramount
$23,800,000 $39,800,000
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues Dec 18, 2013 Paramount
$21,300,000 $84,000,000
American Hustle Dec 13, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$20,800,000 $61,200,000
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty Dec 25, 2013 Fox
$20,000,000 $33,800,000
Saving Mr. Banks Dec 13, 2013 Disney
$14,300,000 $38,000,000
47 Ronin Dec 25, 2013 Universal
$14,200,000 $26,000,000
Grudge Match Dec 25, 2013 Warner Bros.
$12,500,000 $19,700,000
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Nov 22, 2013 Lionsgate
$9,000,000 $389,200,000
Walking With Dinosaurs Dec 20, 2013 Fox
$8,500,000 $22,300,000
Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas Dec 13, 2013 Lionsgate
$6,000,000 $41,800,000
Justin Bieber's Believe Dec 25, 2013 Open Road
$5,500,000 $8,000,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: Justin Bieber's Believe, Grudge Match, 47 Ronin, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, The Wolf of Wall Street

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