Long Range Forecast: 'Captain America: The Winter Soldier'

Featured Stories - on February 07, 2014 by BOXOFFICE Staff

capamericalongrange.pngWe've added Captain America: The Winter Soldier to our Long Range Forecast this week. The new superhero flick is set to open in North America on April 4. 

PROS:

- Disney's decision to open the film in April is brilliant. There will be less competition there than there would be during the summer. 
- We expect The Winter Soldier to benefit from the "Avengers bump" that also helped Iron Man 3 and Thor: The Dark World.
- Twitter enthusiasm reached fever pitch after the film's commercial played during the Super Bowl. That kind of exposure is incredibly valuable.
- Facebook activity has been steady for months--a clear sign that the brand is growing.
- A more prominent role for Scarlett Johansson could boost female interest.

CONS:

- Might have to fight off superhero fatique from some moviegoers. A small threat.

Check out our predictions for Captain America: The Winter Soldier and others in the table below. Notable changes this week include: About Last Night (up), Divergent (up), Non-Stop (up) and Winter's Tale (down).

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
Captain America: The Winter Soldier Apr 4, 2014 Disney
$87,000,000 $225,000,000
Sabotage (2014) Mar 28, 2014 Open Road
$7,000,000 $15,000,000
Noah Mar 28, 2014 Paramount
$47,000,000 $144,000,000
Muppets Most Wanted Mar 21, 2014 Disney
$21,000,000 $57,000,000
Divergent Mar 21, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$55,000,000 $135,000,000
Need For Speed Mar 14, 2014 Disney / DreamWorks
$21,000,000 $53,000,000
Tyler Perry’s The Single Moms Club Mar 14, 2014 Lionsgate
$16,000,000 $36,000,000
Bad Words Mar 14, 2014 Focus
$12,000,000 $40,000,000
300: Rise of an Empire Mar 7, 2014 Warner Bros.
$18,000,000 $43,000,000
Mr. Peabody & Sherman Mar 7, 2014 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$25,000,000 $98,000,000
Son of God Feb 28, 2014 Fox
$11,000,000 $37,000,000
Non-Stop (2014) Feb 28, 2014 Universal
$25,000,000 $73,000,000
3 Days to Kill Feb 21, 2014 Relativity Media
$11,000,000 $32,000,000
Pompeii Feb 21, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$15,000,000 $36,000,000
Endless Love (2014) Feb 14, 2014 Universal
$17,000,000* $35,000,000
About Last Night Feb 14, 2014 Sony / Screen Gems
$29,000,000* $63,000,000
Winter's Tale Feb 14, 2014 Warner Bros.
$13,000,000* $28,000,000

Robocop: $29 million*/$61 million

*4-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: Captain America: The Winter Soldier

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