Long Range Forecast: 'How To Train Your Dragon 2'

Featured Stories - on April 18, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

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Fox and DreamWorks will team up yet again on How To Train Your Dragon 2, the highly-anticipated sequel to 2010's smash hit. This week we take a closer look at the commercial prospects for this promising title.

How To Train Your Dragon 2
(Fox/DreamWorks Animation)

PROS:

- This will be the first major release of the summer that is safe for families with young children. Disney's Maleficent will be too dark for kids under 10 year old.
- The first film was a massive word-of-mouth hit. It opened to $43.7 million domestically on its way to an impressive $217.6 million final tally.
- How To Train Your Dragon 3 has already been announced, so Fox/DreamWorks are clearly confident that the second film will keep the brand healthy.
- Facebook activity has been staggeringly good since the release of the first film. The official page had 107K likes on the day How To Train Your Dragon was released and now it's up to nearly 5.8 million.
- Unlike Summer 2013, this summer is not overcrowded with animated titles and that will work to How To Train Your Dragon 2's advantage. 

CONS:

- Sometimes animated sequels stumble. Let's not forget about the weak performance of The Smurfs 2

Check out our predictions for these films and others in the table below. Key changes this week include X-Men: Days of Future Past (up), Brick Mansions (down), The Quiet Ones (down).

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
How to Train Your Dragon 2 Jun 13, 2014 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$78,000,000 $298,000,000
22 Jump Street Jun 13, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$48,000,000 $143,000,000
The Fault in Our Stars Jun 6, 2014 Fox
$29,000,000 $88,000,000
Edge of Tomorrow Jun 6, 2014 Warner Bros.
$33,000,000 $93,000,000
A Million Ways to Die in the West May 30, 2014 Universal
$27,000,000 $73,000,000
Maleficent May 30, 2014 Disney
$61,000,000 $191,000,000
Blended May 23, 2014 Warner Bros.
$24,000,000* $56,000,000
X-Men: Days of Future Past May 23, 2014 Fox
$108,000,000* $230,000,000
Godzilla (2014) May 16, 2014 Warner Bros.
$75,000,000 $235,000,000
Million Dollar Arm May 16, 2014 Disney
$15,000,000 $60,000,000
Legends of Oz: Dorothy's Return May 9, 2014 Clarius Entertainment
$4,000,000 $11,000,000
Moms' Night Out May 9, 2014 Sony / AFFIRM
$6,000,000 $14,000,000
Neighbors May 9, 2014 Universal
$34,000,000 $126,000,000
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 May 2, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$112,000,000 $265,000,000
Brick Mansions Apr 25, 2014 Relativity Media
$6,000,000 $13,000,000
The Quiet Ones Apr 25, 2014 Lionsgate
$5,500,000 $12,000,000
The Other Woman Apr 25, 2014 Fox
$18,000,000 $55,000,000

*4-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.  

Tags: How To Train Your Dragon 2, predictions

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