Weekend Forecast: 'Godzilla' & 'Million Dollar Arm'

Featured Stories - on May 14, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

may16.pngMay 16 sees the wide release of director Gareth Edwards' anticipated Godzilla reboot, as well as Disney's Million Dollar Arm.

Godzilla

PROS:

- Warner Bros. has mounted a highly effective ad campaign, showcasing the scale and character of the film without spoiling too much.
- Social media buzz has been consistently positive since the first trailer's launch in December 2013.
- The Amazing Spider-Man 2's failure to capture a blockbuster level audience could lead to extra demand for Godzilla.
- The film's ensemble cast, with Breaking Bad's Bryan Cranston featuring somewhat prominently, should help appeal to adult crowds. 

CONS:

- Will the bad taste of 1998's failed iteration still linger in older moviegoers' mouths?
- Neighbors's breakout last weekend, and strong word of mouth since, could hold back Godzilla from its upper-end of opening weekend potential as young adults are forced to choose between the two.
- As last year's Pacific Rim proved, monster movies aren't the major attractions they used to be. This Godzilla could change that, though.

Million Dollar Arm

PROS:

- The Disney brand name should help this appeal to more than just baseball fans.
- Jon Hamm's star is on the rise, even if it's mostly due to his success on Mad Men.
- Positive early buzz suggests counter-programming is the order of the day with potential appeal to sports fans, underserved Indian audiences in America, and families looking for a feel-good movie that older children may appreciate.

CONS:

- Hamm is becoming more popular, but he's never headlined a major release like this.
- Until audience word of mouth kicks in, it's unlikely this appeals to a crowd much wider than that of something like Moneyball on opening weekend.
- Social media buzz has left something to be desired, but that's somewhat expected without any fanboy-friendly elements.

Check out our complete weekend forecast in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Domestic Total through Sunday, May 18
Godzilla (2014) May 16, 2014 Warner Bros.
$76,000,000 $76,000,000
Neighbors (2014) May 9, 2014 Universal
$27,000,000 $92,000,000
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 May 2, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$16,500,000 $172,000,000
Million Dollar Arm May 16, 2014 Disney
$15,000,000 $15,000,000
The Other Woman (2014) Apr 25, 2014 Fox
$5,900,000 $71,200,000
Heaven is for Real Apr 16, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$4,900,000 $82,700,000
Captain America: The Winter Soldier Apr 4, 2014 Disney
$3,300,000 $250,100,000
Rio 2 Apr 11, 2014 Fox
$3,200,000 $117,400,000
Moms' Night Out May 9, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$2,100,000 $7,500,000
Legends of Oz: Dorothy's Return May 9, 2014 Clarius Entertainment
$1,900,000 $6,400,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: predictions, Million Dollar Arm, Godzilla

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