Weekend Forecast: '22 Jump Street' & 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'

Featured Stories - on June 11, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

jun13.pngThis weekend sees the release of two very different, but anticipated, sequels.

22 Jump Street

PROS:

- The first film received excellent word of mouth and a leggy run in its spring launch two years ago.
- Jonah Hill and Channing Tatum in particular have continued to increase their star power since the original movie.
- Flixster and Twitter activity are exceptionally strong ahead of release.
- The film is already "Certified Fresh" on Rotten Tomatoes--a rarity for comedies, sequel or not.

CONS:

- Facebook and pre-sales activity leave a little bit to be desired.
- Will Neighbors' success hold back upfront demand for this one?
- Will the recent negative press around Hill have any effect? (We doubt it.)

How to Train Your Dragon 2

PROS:

- The first film was widely beloved by both kids and parents, going on to be nominated for an Oscar.
- As the first animated release since April's Rio 2, this could satiate some market demand among families.
- Flixster activity has been mightily impressive, ranking among the most anticipated movies of 2014.
- Early reviews are very strong.

CONS:

- With few animated releases this summer, Dragon 2 could play out more in legs than is typical for a sequel.
- Animated sequels usually break out when they provide a sense of comedy. Dragon's more dramatic tone could turn it into another Kung Fu Panda 2-type performer.
- Neither Twitter nor Facebook activity are significantly ahead of Rio 2 or The LEGO Movie at the same point.

Check out our complete weekend forecast in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Domestic Total through Sunday, June 15
22 Jump Street Jun 13, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$65,000,000 $65,000,000
How to Train Your Dragon 2 Jun 13, 2014 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$64,000,000 $64,000,000
Maleficent May 30, 2014 Disney
$18,500,000 $162,700,000
The Fault in Our Stars Jun 6, 2014 Fox
$18,000,000 $83,300,000
Edge of Tomorrow Jun 6, 2014 Warner Bros.
$14,000,000 $54,500,000
X-Men: Days of Future Past May 23, 2014 Fox
$7,700,000 $204,000,000
Godzilla (2014) May 16, 2014 Warner Bros.
$3,300,000 $191,400,000
A Million Ways to Die in the West May 30, 2014 Universal
$3,200,000 $37,000,000
Neighbors (2014) May 9, 2014 Universal
$2,800,000 $143,500,000
Blended May 23, 2014 Warner Bros.
$1,900,000 $40,500,000
Chef May 9, 2014 Open Road
$1,800,000 $13,700,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: predictions, 22 Jump Street, How to Train Your Dragon 2

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