Saturday Update: Warner Bros. reports that If I Stay grabbed $6.83 million on Friday, including Thursday's $1.1 million sneaks. That's a healthy start for the young adult adaptation and sets it up nicely for a weekend around $17 million.
If I Stay's opening day was 44 percent higher than The Giver's last week, and just 12 percent behind August 2009's The Time Traveler's Wife. The film's CinemaScore was a solid "A-", while Flixster users are more middling at 75 percent.
The race for first place could be a close one, though. Disney/Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy slipped just 30 percent from last Friday to $4.83 million yesterday, taking second place. The flick boasts $239.1 million in the domestic bank so far, and it will overtake Transformers: Age of Extinction on Saturday to become the summer's highest grossing film. The pic is also an impressive 12 percent ahead of the pace of Captain America: The Winter Soldier. BoxOffice projects a $17.2 million return to first place for Guardians' fourth weekend.
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles was no slouch itself on its third Friday, dropping a healthy 43 percent from last Friday to $4.54 million. The reboot has claimed $133.35 million to date, 19 percent ahead of the pace of G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra. BoxOffice projects $16.1 million for its third frame.
When the Game Stands Tall earned $3 million yesterday, 44 percent behind the opening day take of 2006's Invincible. BoxOffice projects a $9.5 million opening weekend.
Meanwhile, Sin City: A Dame to Kill For was dead on arrival Friday. The nine-years-in-the-making sequel took in $2.62 million on Friday after an already disappointing $480,000 Thursday night start. The opening day figure is 55 percent lower than last year's Kick-Ass 2, and puts the film on course for an opening frame around $6 million. For reference, the original Sin City took in $11.8 million on opening day alone in its April 2005 debut. Early fan word of mouth appears mixed with a 76 percent Flixster score, comparable to 300: Rise of an Empire's 73 percent one day after release.
Friday Update #2: Sources tell BoxOffice that If I Stay is pacing for an opening day around $5 million. If that holds, an opening weekend in the $13-14 million range is likely.
Meanwhile, When the Game Stands Tall is performing on par with expectations around a $3.5 million Friday. That would likely get the film over $10 million for the weekend.
The news isn't improving for Sin City: A Dame to Kill For. After alarmingly low Thursday night numbers, sources report that the sequel may net around $4 million today. If that holds, a sub-$10 million weekend remains very likely (possibly closer to $9 million).
Friday Report #1: Warner Bros. reports that If I Stay bowed to a healthy $1.1 million gross from Thursday shows starting at 7pm. Previously, Fandango reported the adaptation was leading all films in pre-weekend ticket sales in what's shaping up to be a chase for first place.
Appropriate comparisons would seem to be The Fault In Our Stars ($8.2 million Thursday opening) and Divergent ($4.9 million), however, those films were more likely to be front-loaded given their dedicated fan base and pre-release hype. A fair comparison may be that of the Carrie remake, also starring Chloe Grace Moretz, which opened to $0.73 million on Thursday as part of its $16.1 million opening weekend. Additionally, last week's The Giver earned $0.75 million as part of a $12.3 million frame.
Meanwhile, Sin City: A Dame to Kill For opened soft last night with $0.48 million. The nine-year wait for the sequel undoubtedly tempered excitement outside the fanboy crowd. By comparison, last August's Kick-Ass 2 pulled $1.3 million from Thursday 8pm shows and went on to a disappointing $13.3 million weekend. A sub-$10 million weekend for the Sin City sequel looks likely.
When the Game Stands Tall earned $0.425 million last night, slightly more than Draft Day's $0.31 million earlier this year. The film could end up around $10 million this weekend.